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24.01.2025 12:49 PM
AUD/USD: 川普有關可能與中國達成貿易協議的聲明後,澳大利亞元增加了動能
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AUD/USD的匯率已打破兩天的交易範圍,達到了新的月度高點。現價顯示出正向動能,推動超越了50天簡單移動平均線(SMA),並在美元弱勢的情況下準備進一步上漲。

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美元指数,該指數追踪美元對一籃子貨幣的表現,受到預期本年底聯邦儲備系統將降息的影響,跌至新的月度低點。

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這些預期被美國總統唐納德·特朗普的言論所加強,他呼籲立即降息。這與整體市場樂觀主義結合,削弱了美元的避險地位並支持了AUD/USD的上漲。

當特朗普表示希望避免對中國徵收關稅並強調達成貿易協議的可能性後,全球風險情緒獲得了額外的提振。這些談話緩解了通脹擔憂,並導致美國國庫收益率下跌,進一步壓低了美元。此外,技術買盤在0.6300水平以上的購買推動了AUD/USD的日內上漲。相對強度指數(RSI)在日K線圖上信心滿滿地穿越了50水平,進一步向正方向移動,而9天指數移動平均線(EMA)已經突破了14天EMA,進一步預示了持續增長的可能性。

配合近期的上漲,現價已從本月早些時候達到的最低水平上升了大約200點,並有望打破連續三周的下跌趨勢。

要尋找更好的交易機會,應關注美國初步PMI數據的發佈,這可能在早期北美交易時段提供額外的動能。進入下周,由於澳元與中國經濟表現密切相關,周一官方公佈的中國PMI數值將對影響澳元的市場情緒起到關鍵作用。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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